Websites
Thomas Fanshawe
MPhil MA PhD
Senior Medical Statistician
- Departmental Lecturer
- University Research Lecturer
My research is based on the development and application of statistical methods to studies in primary care. My main areas of current work include diagnosis and clinical risk prediction, and the application of meta-analytic methods.
I work in the Methodology theme of the NIHR HealthTech Research Centre - Community Healthcare, and provide statistical support for the TOUCAN study, the EVOLUTION study and the ARMADILO study.
Previously I worked on the OxRisk forensic psychiatry risk prediction programme, the RAPSS study in collaboration with the Department of Psychiatry, the RAPTOR-C19 workstream of the CONDOR (COVID-19 National Diagnostic Research and Evaluation) Platform, the Mental Health theme of the NIHR Applied Research Collaboration Oxford and Thames Valley, and with the Cochrane Tobacco Addiction Group.
I coordinate the Year 1 & 2 medical statistics teaching of the Oxford pre-clinical (First BM) course and an accredited short course on Clinical Prediction Rules. I also contribute to other modules on the postgraduate programmes in Evidence-Based Health Care and Applied Digital Health, as well as supervising for the department's DPhil programmes.
Recent publications
Smoking and Quitting Behaviors by Different Indicators of Socioeconomic Position in England: A Population Study, 2014 to 2023
Journal article
Theodoulou A. et al, (2026), Nicotine and Tobacco Research, 28, 1045 - 1052
A novel approach to the assessment of repeat self-harm in prisoners: development and validation of a tool to bridge assessment and treatment (RAPSS)
Journal article
Fazel S. et al, (2026), Health Technology Assessment Winchester England, 30, 1 - 38
Diagnostic Accuracy of Point-of-Care Tests to Diagnose Vitamin D Deficiency in Adults and Children: Systematic Review
Journal article
Murphy J. et al, (2026), Diagnostics, 16
Inflammatory Biomarkers Predicting Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events in People Living With HIV: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
Journal article
Murray A. et al, (2026), Journal of the International AIDS Society, 29
Risks and benefits of probabilistic suicide risk tools: commentary, Fazel et al.
Journal article
Fazel S. et al, (2026), Br J Psychiatry, 1 - 2
Defining recurrent urinary tract infection and reinfection risk: electronic health record study.
Journal article
Vazquez-Montes MD. et al, (2026), BJGP Open
External validation, recalibration and updating of the OxSATS risk model for suicide after self-harm in England
Preprint
Lagerberg T. et al, (2026)
Risks and benefits of probabilistic suicide risk tools
Other
FAZEL S. et al, (2026), The British journal of psychiatry

